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Capital Market AssumptionsCapitalMarketAssumptions

PGIM Quantitative Solutions Q3 2023 10-Year Capital Market Assumptions

Asset Asset Class Expected Geometric Return Expected Arithmetic Return Expected Volatility Expected Sharpe Ratio
Fixed Income Fixed Income        
Cash Fixed Income 3.77 - - -
US Treasury Bonds Fixed Income 4.04 4.15 4.67 0.09
US Long Treasury Fixed Income 3.85 4.4 10.53 0.06
Global Treasury Bonds Hedged Fixed Income 4.18 4.41 6.77 0.1
US Aggregate Bonds Fixed Income 4.34 4.5 5.62 0.13
Global Aggregate Bonds Hedged Fixed Income 4.22 4.39 5.77 0.11
US Investment Grade Bonds Fixed Income 4.84 5.07 6.77 0.2
US High Yield Bonds Fixed Income 5.42 5.78 8.53 0.24
US TIPS Fixed Income 4.31 4.47 5.75 0.13
Equities Equities        
US Equities Equities 6.56 7.74 15.34 0.26
US Small Cap Equities 7.06 9.01 19.72 0.27
UK Equities Unhedged Equities 8.42 10.06 18.1 0.35
Europe ex UK Equities Unhedged Equities 7.9 9.4 17.32 0.33
Japan Equities Unhedged Equities 8.63 10.73 20.5 0.34
Developed International ex US Equities Unhedged Equities 8.44 9.72 16.03 0.38
EM Equities Unhedged Equities 9.24 12.07 23.77 0.35
Global Equities Unhedged Equities 7.27 9.31 20.23 0.28
Real Assets Real Assets        
US REITs Real Assets 6.46 8.02 17.68 0.25
Developed REITs Unhedged Real Assets 7.1 9.46 21.73 0.27
Commodities Real Assets 5.15 6.24 14.72 0.17
Private Assets Private Assets        
US Private Real Estate - Core Private Assets 5.82 6.79 13.97 0.22
US Private Real Estate - Opportunistic Private Assets 6.64 8.33 18.42 0.25
US Private Debt - Mezzanine Private Assets 5.55 6.15 10.96 0.22
US Private Equity - Buyout Private Assets 8.04 9.97 19.69 0.32
US Private Equity - Venture Capital Private Assets 9.72 12.94 25.4 0.37
60/40 Portfolio 60/40 Portfolio 6.47 7.34 13.22 0.28

Source: PGIM Quantitative Solutions as of 6/30/2023. Forecasts may not be achieved and are not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future results.

Asset Class Income Focused Balanced Income and Growth Growth Focused
Equities 0.3 0.55 0.7
U.S. Large Cap 0.2 0.35 0.4
U.S. Small Cap 0.02 0.03 0.08
International ex U.S. 0.05 0.12 0.15
Emerging Markets 0.03 0.05 0.07
Fixed Income 0.6 0.35 0.2
U.S. Aggregate 0.5 0.3 0.1
U.S. Investment Grade 0.08 0.03 0.03
U.S. High Yield 0.02 0.02 0.07
Real Assets 0.1 0.1 0.1
TIPS 0.06 0.03 0.02
U.S. REITS 0.02 0.04 0.05
Commodities 0.02 0.03 0.03
Expected Geometric Return 0.0565 0.065 0.0703
Expected Standard Deviation 0.0707 0.1001 0.1241
Expected Sharpe Ratio 0.3016 0.3236 0.3252

Source: PGIM Quantitative Solutions as of 6/30/2023. For illustrative purposes only. The asset allocations are hypothetical and should not be construed as investment advice. No investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee returns or eliminate risk in any market environment. There is no guarantee strategies will be successful. Forecasts may not be achieved and are not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future results.

Asset Class Income Focused Balanced Income and Growth Growth Focused
Equities 0.31 0.545 0.669999999
U.S. Large Cap 0.15 0.3 0.35
U.S. Small Cap 0.04 0.035 0.06
International ex U.S. 0.07 0.14 0.169999999
Emerging Markets 0.05 0.07 0.09
Fixed Income 0.57 0.335000001 0.210000004
U.S. Aggregate 0.47 0.325 0.15
U.S. Investment Grade 0.06 0.01 0.010000004
U.S. High Yield 0.04 0 0.05
Real Assets 0.12 0.12 0.119999986
TIPS 0.040000001 0.03 0.01
U.S. REITS 0.039999999 0.04 0.06
Commodities 0.04 0.05 0.049999986
Expected Geometric Return 0.0592 0.0663 0.071
Expected Standard Deviation 0.0755 0.101 0.122
Expected Sharpe Ratio 0.3236 0.3339 0.3344

Source: PGIM Quantitative Solutions as of 6/30/2023. For illustrative purposes only. The asset allocations are hypothetical and should not be construed as investment advice. No investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee returns or eliminate risk in any market environment. There is no guarantee strategies will be successful. Forecasts may not be achieved and are not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future results.

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